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Libya presents a stalemate situation of the war, both government forces or armed opposition 

are difficult to obtain significant advantages. In the battlefield, the Gaddafi government, 

opposition and Western countries are engaged in contact with each other, try a diplomatic 

war without smoke is being performed.

Delicate negotiation time

China Foundation for International Studies Director Huihou analysis: "Gaddafi has never 

rule out the possibility of a political solution to the crisis." Huihou that the current 

war situation conducive to bargaining at the negotiating table Gaddafi. On the one hand, 

interest in the bombing, although the loss of government forces is large, but has gradually 

hold our ground. Armed opposition on the ground did not account for much cheaper on the 

battlefield, and in the U.S. to stop airstrikes, Gaddafi will decrease by a lot of military 

pressure; the same time, little effect of military intervention, United States and Britain 

and France have begun to opt for political means. Prior to the meeting held in London and 

will be held next week, "the Libyan Liaison Group," the first meeting are to provide a 

platform for a political solution to the crisis.

Of course, Gaddafi is far from peace of mind. More and more signs that some Western 

countries overtly or covertly, is actively anti-government armed forces, the Libyan 

government forces and equipment, training advantage is increasingly lost. Research Fellow, 

China Institute of International Hua Liming, believes that Gaddafi is now softening stance, 

sent a special envoy to visit his good offices, it is hoped to seize the opportunity, there 

are some chips in the negotiations under the circumstances, to avoid the fall of Saddam 

with the same end.

Western three-pronged approach

Gaddafi and the signal for the West's attitude seems ambivalent. On the one hand, dialogue 

and negotiations is not closed the door, on the other hand, non-military means but through 

a variety of pressure to the Gaddafi regime.

Taking into account the content of the Security Council Resolution 1973 and domestic anti-

war sentiment rising, the U.S. and British ground troops deployed in a short time method is 

unlikely. Thus, while air strikes continued, the West is using three strategies gradually 

affect the situation in Libya. The first is that "pressure" Gaddafi by recognizing the 

opposition to isolate the regime, the compression of its international activities; followed 

by "instigation", trying to shake away with the Libyan government army officials; the last 

is the "support", by providing various forms of assistance to opposition forces and thus 

strengthen the regime against Gaddafi.

As for the impact, and the current situation is normal operation Gaddafi regime, more 

importantly, play a decisive role in the armed forces still loyal to Muammar Gaddafi, there 

was no sign of mutiny. Of course, Gaddafi can finally hold on is unknown.

Will bargain

All parties expressed willingness for a political solution, and after several parties in 

the negotiations also showed the cards one after another. Libyan government agreed to 

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reform, but insisted Gaddafi stay; the opposition asked Gaddafi to hand over power; while 

Western Gaddafi asked to step down. Future, the parties will change according to the 

situation, adjust their asking price.

As for the talks mediator, as the only Muslim NATO member countries and Turkey may be 

accepted by all parties. Gaddafi's envoys have been recently in contact with the earth, and 

the opposition representatives will visit Turkey in a few days.

Western media on the current rumors of their child by Saif Gaddafi, the transfer of power 

to the message of peace to step down, Huihou This may be a test to determine that the 

Gaddafi family to spy on Western attitudes. If the West final by default the program, then 

even if Gaddafi to hand over power, his family and his own security and interests can be 

guaranteed, it might well be a feasible option.xzx5277